February 16, 2018 – Fort Russ News –
– Igor Skripach, in RuEconomics, translated by Tom Winter –
|Original caption: Under Erdogan relations with the West will be complicated, and will most likely deteriorate|
Unacceptable “threat language” of the US will lead Turkey to new deals with Russia on the S-400
ANKARA. Any attempt of the global West to pressure Turkey with the “language of threats” because of the deal with Russia on the S-400 complexes will only intensify the contradictions with Ankara, and will tend to complicate relations with the West. So experts explain to Economy Today ….
Turkey does not accept threats in connection with the purchase of Russian S-400 systems, as this deal provides national security for the country — Çavuşoğlu.
“We do not use or accept the language of threats. Yes, the US Congress passed a law (on new anti-Russian sanctions), but we need to ensure our national security.” We would like to acquire means of securing it from the allies, but there are always problems. We spoke not only with Russia, but also with other countries, and with Russia we ended the negotiations and signed the agreement long before the Congress, only small details remained on credit, and so on,” said Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu at a joint press conference with the Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.
It is interesting that on the day before it became known about a possible second deal on the S-400.
“Upon completion of the delivery of the first set in May-June 2020, the parties in the same year plan to sign a new contract for the delivery of Turkey’s second S-400 set in 2021. The nomenclature of supply will be similar to the first contract,” Tass reported.
The Power of Claims
We see recently a serious divergence of positions of Turkey and its allies in the West, says RUDN* Professor Yuri Pochta.
“This is manifested in the attitude to the Syrian problem and to the NATO bases in Turkey, the relations have been worsening not only with the Alliance, but also with the European Union, where Ankara is trying to join in. Is further divergence, separation likely? Much depends on how things find themselves in Turkey, in the circles of power. Today, under Erdogan, relations with the West will be complicated, and most likely, they will steadily continue to deteriorate, “the expert said.
The Turks always portrayed the third party superfluous in the dialogue between the US and Russia, reports Stanislav Tarasov, director of the Middle East Caucasus research center, but now the process has gone far – Ankara is cooperating with Russia on the S-400. “For Turkey, these deals are an attempt to further distance themselves from the policies of the West and NATO,” the expert believes. And additional pressure on Turkey will only exacerbate its distance from the West.
Erdogan has in recent years had a desire to make Turkey a regional power with certain claims and global importance, and the country has created conflict situations with all its neighbors – Iran, Israel, Syria. Of course, Yuriy Pochta noted, Ankara’s resources are not unlimited, so there will not be a definitive break with the allies. …
An important but changeable partner
Erdogan professes a complex ideology, which simultaneously allows for the desire to join the European Union, alliance with NATO, and pan-Turkism, and authoritarianism.
“He uses elements of blackmail in his foreign policy, yet demonstrating at the same time friendship and assurances of friendship. As a result, Turkey is an important but very fragile partner,” the expert said, and Ankara’s strategy is applicable to all its foreign policy, and this needs to be taken into account in Moscow.
“It is also important whether such a political regime will survive in the face of a significant number of challenges – Kurds, Israel, radical Islamists, radical nationalists – they all threaten present-day Ankara,” Yuri Pochta noted, adding that this is the East, as it has ever been and will continue to be.
*RUDN: Peoples Friendship University of Russia.