December 7th, 2017 – Fort Russ News –
– by Joaquin Flores, for FRN – Support Flores’ Patreon!
We often hear about Israeli invincibility. Indeed, many Arab leaders’ reasoning for not taking on Israel directly, in military terms, has always been that they don’t have the capacity. Yet twice Hezbollah has dispelled that myth. Trump’s declaration on Jerusalem obliterates the myth of Israel’s invincibility indeed. Israel needs the US to recognize it, for it to exist. This is odd for an invincible ‘nation’. A stubborn parasite, more fits the bill.
While those following this story for years already know this to be true, it exposes how dependent Israel’s existence is on having its tentacles in the US. AIPAC literally controls the US Congress and Senate on matters of Mideast policy including Central Asia and Iran. It has also driven policy on Ukraine, and Russia. Freshmen in congress are forced to make a pledge of allegiance to the criminal state of Israel.
Which isn’t to say that the US’s leadership and policy on the Mideast didn’t usher Israel into existence. The perennial question is always, ‘Why?’. These questions have answers, but it is impossible to do so and remain within the law.
Even Trump’s declaration speech, was a bit odd. This wasn’t the Trump we’ve seen in the past, rather we had Trump doing an Obama – not off the cuff, and rather instead reliant upon a teleprompter. His phrasing and pausing was awkward was forced. Yes indeed, forced is the word that probably describes much of what goes on in terms of US-Israel relations on the whole.
Also of course very strange is that this won’t take effect for 6 months or so. In other words, it’s premature. We know how test balloons work, and this raises big questions about ‘what remains to be seen’. What cards are expected to fall into place, since this announcement reflects, at face value, a rejection of the entire paradigm on Israel-Palestine since the Oslo Accords of 1993?
We ran a translation of Israel Shamir’s comments on this subject yesterday. He calls Trump’s move an ‘Own Goal’. One is almost tempted to think he did it on purpose, fully aware that is’s a blunder for Israel. One had better be careful what they wish for, as the saying goes. Previously, Trump was caught on a hot mic saying that Netanyahu was the real obstacle to any resolution on Israel and Palestine.
The paradigm of a ‘two-state solution’ that recognizes Israel has always been problematic. This was based upon East Jerusalem as the capital of a Palestinian state to be. Whether Israel wants to relocate their capital from Tel Aviv to West Jerusalem, within the context of the post 1967 6-day War paradigm, is their call to make – an internal matter.
Trump’s move practically hits the reset button, and throws Oslo out the window. The silver lining here is that, the Arab world’s hands were also tied by it. Of course, all along it was the Arab world observing it, and Israel continuing to build illegal settlements and de facto annexing the rest of Palestine.
To be clear, the editorial line of Fort Russ is ‘It’s all Palestine’. Our main sympathies are with the PFLP (pictured above). In a Palestinian state, whether secular or theocratic or something in between, the minority of Sephardi or Mizrahi Jewish people indigenous to the region ought to have the sort of rights seen even in the Iranian theocracy, where they enjoy special status and are protected.
The majority of Ashkenazi Jews are of Eastern European origin, and a process of reintegrating them into that region should be worked out. At the high point of the conflict in Ukraine, we postulated that given Tel Aviv (the UN recognized capital of Israel) backing the Kiev Junta and Poroshenko, that Ukraine was being eyed up as an ‘evac’ location for the Ashkenazim, given that the academic consensus in the field of IR and Geopolitics is that Israel has no future as a ‘Jewish State’.
As Shamir explained, and we endorse, Trump’s move places yet another serious wedge between Europe and the US. As I noted previously on twitter, this development was a ‘good one’ as it demasks what US foreign policy has been for some time, but does so in a way that avoids ambiguity. How now can any Arab or Muslim leader in the world stand shoulder-to-shoulder, even photo-op style, with Trump? Of course we’re bound to see it, and we’re also bound to see the popularity and legitimacy of those leaders plummet. Is the next Color-Spring tactic expected to hit Saudi Arabia? There is little doubt that Turkey’s own Erdogan can only be expected to further distance himself from American leadership, a process underway since the US backed a failed military coup against him a short while ago.
Trumps move is bound to create a new feeling of unity and mission in a war torn region, in what will soon be the aftermath of the Syrian War, and an Israel that finds itself on the side of the losing coalition to oust Assad. And this all lines up in such a peculiar way, that we must remind ourselves the old maxim – in geopolitics, nothing happens randomly.
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