Translated by Ollie Richardson for Fort Russ
21st June, 2016
Today, none of the top Ukrainian politicians have a significant advantage over their competitors, and the gap between them is within statistical error.
This is evidenced by the sociological survey conducted by the Ukrainian Institute for the Future during 17th-31st May.
In particular, if presidential elections in Ukraine were to be held next week, the votes would be distributed the following way (from the total number of respondents):
Current President Petro Poroshenko would gain 8% of votes. He is followed by Yulia Tymoshenko with a score of 7.5%. Next up is Andriy Sadovyi with the result of 6.8%, followed by Oleg Lyashko with 6.7%.
Mikheil Saakashvili would gain 5.9%. The leader of the “Freedom” party Oleg Tyahnybok would collect 3% of respondents’ votes.
27.8% of respondents would not go to the polls, and another 22% were unable to define what is normal index.
The Ukrainian Institute for the Future has also calculated the results of such a vote, depending on the number of voters who came to the polls.
On the basis of them it is obvious that during the years of his presidency, Petro Poroshenko has lost much of his supporters: if 2 years ago 54.7% of the electorate voted for him in the election, today only 10.7% of those who plan to participate in the elections would vote for him.
The results relative to other candidates are as follows: Yulia Tymoshenko – 10.25%, Andriy Sadovyi – 9.6%, O. Lyashko – 9%, Saakashvili – 7.9%, O. Tyahnybok – 5,7%, Dobkin – 4.1%.
In total, the survey involved 2,000 respondents — residents of Ukraine on the quota principle. The sampling error was 2.3%. The survey was conducted on 17th-31st May.
Recall that the sociological research of the Ukrainian Institute of the Future showed that two-thirds of Ukrainians believe that the economic situation deteriorated sharply after independence. Sociological research also showed that today only 10% of Ukrainians would vote for the candidacy of Petro Poroshenko for the post of President of Ukraine. Ukrainians also stated the main failing of the reign of Petro Poroshenko and also indicated who is mainly responsible for the crisis in Ukraine.
In addition, respondents named the main achievement of the government of Arseniy Yatsenyuk, and also indicated the most influential of the oligarchs and the failure of deoligarchization.