September 30, 2015 –
Andrey, Live Journal –
Translated for Fort Russ by J. Arnoldski
“Syria and global politics: 10 theses”
In light of the last UN General Assembly and today’s decision of the Federation Council, I would like to share these ten theses on trends in global politics and the roles of Russia and Syria in the building of the new world order.
- Syria is currently the point of collision between two opposing global trends in global politics, the first of which is represented firstly by Russia, and the second of which – the US and NATO.
- The first slip in the global headquarters of world US and NATO hegemony began in 2012, when Russia, together with China, blocked the resolution of the UN Security Council on Syria which would have opened the way for occupation of this Middle Eastern state. Syria was supposed to be, but in the end did not become (despite the bleeding), the next in line of NATO’s victims after Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Egypt, and Libya, and the next field for deployment of a “color revolution.”
- The coup in Ukraine, to a large extent, was a counter-attack by the US and NATO against Russia in response to the failure of the plan of occupying Syria. The Banderization of Ukraine would compensate for the geopolitical losses of the US and restore the chances of the “color revolution” strategy aimed directly at Russia.
- ISIS became another vector in continuing the US and its allies’ destructive strategy against Syria. The expansion of ISIS became the pretext for starting to bomb Syria. Over the past two years, NATO has inflicted a huge number of airstrikes, officially against positions of the Islamic State, but de facto against Syria with the corresponding destruction of infrastructure. Israel directly struck units of the government army and its Lebanese allies. Thus, ISIS acts as a “smokescreen” for the aggression of the forces of international imperialism against Syria (and Iraq, Yemen, and other countries.)
- A part of the armed anti-government forces in Syria, called “moderate” in the West, depends entirely on material support from the US and its allies, and their Islam is disguised under “democracy.” They are the combat units of NATO or its satellites such as Saudi Arabia or Israel. Unlike the “moderate” puppets, ISIS, with the actual support of the most reactionary circles in the US and NATO, has become a significant military and political force, the center of gravity of these right-wing extremists being not only Syria and Iraq but also other countries of the Near and Middle East, Central Asia, and even Africa and South-East Asia. Mediating the participation of the US in bringing chaos to the Middle East, ISIS is also a relatively independent power of a neo-fascist persuasion which is even capable, under certain circumstances, of threatening its yesterday’s patrons. In this respect, the situation has similarities with the European and Far-Eastern ’30’s and ’40’s of the 20th century.
- In the context of the positive shifts in Russia’s foreign policies, the pretext of “fighting terrorism”, which was created by the USA as a result of the terrorist attacks of 9/11 2001 and used to actively destabilize disliked countries, could be turned against the neo-fascist wing of transnational monopoly capital. This would be a major success of Russian foreign policy and at the same time an important achievement of the progressive forces of the world.
- Russia’s call to create an anti-ISIS coalition using the analogy of the anti-Hitler coalition for the first time appeals to anti-terrorist rhetoric against the United States. In fact, the US is stumped – they are invited to join a coalition against themselves.
- This trend is empirically found and, perhaps, is the only alternative in contemporary conditions to the the world sliding towards a global terrorist dictatorship of neo-fascist circles of transnational capital and/or the thermonuclear suicide of humanity. For Russia this is the only chance for a fair political settlement of the conflict with Ukraine with the fullest regard towards the rights and interests of the Donbass uprising (just as the resolution of the Colombian-Venezuelan conflict opens the way for a political resolution of the longstanding civil conflict inside Columbia).
- Syria and Russia can deploy a genuine ATO (unlike the quasi-ATO of Ukraine against Donbass), the successes of which can chance the balance of power in the world and return rationality to world politics, returning the genuine meaning to words lost over the course of the global information war (it’s not necessary to go far for an example – the labeling of the militia of Donbass as “separatists” and “terrorists” in global media). An example of such a path is shown by Latin America, where in the conditions of a new regional and global balance of forces, ruling circles are forcing Colombia to abandon the demonization of the insurgency and take the path of political agreement with it.
- The return of rationality to world politics may be a factor in clearing the global public conscience and creating preconditions for a global understanding of the objectively terrorist and destructive nature of US imperialism and NATO. This would help defend against attempts at reactionary scrapping, and democratically reform the institution of the United Nations, and also stop attempts at global social revenge through Transatlantic and Transpacific “partnerships,” similar to the case in which Latin Americans tore up the dress rehearsal of this scenario in their hemisphere – the FTAA project – ten years ago.