May 12, 2015
Translated by Kristina Rus
The old world has crumbled. Russia and China must create a new one. This report talks about the need to unite the potential of both countries.
This article is based on the report at the scientific-practical conference “China and Russia in a changing world” in Beijing, on May 4, 2015.
Who is stopping us?
The most obvious enemy of our collaboration is the West, and primarily the USA. Since those times, when they considered the only real content of the proposed “reset” of relationship with Russia – a break up of our strategic partnership, nothing has changed.
However, the national bureaucracies of the West, including the United States, in general, are nothing more than puppets of the global business. They are not monolithic, but that part that strives for the preservation of the global market and financial architecture in its current form, and the part that is focused on the destruction of the world for the sake of saving the standard of living of the United States, are irreconcilable enemies of Russia and China, and our partnership.
Of course, the global business will undermine our cooperation not only from the outside, but also from within, primarily through the Russian liberal clan, fully controlling for socio-economic policy of Russia. Its representatives are flirting with China, but they are the main problem in the development of our relations.
In addition to the global opponents, our cooperation, albeit to a lesser extent, will be sabotaged by local opponents.
First of all, they are the sincere, but short-sighted patriots of Russia and China, focused on the local issues and not endowed with a strategic vision. This causes them to concentrate on the natural contradictions of bilateral development which without being inflated by them can be settled routinely in daily negotiations.
This problem is solved by the development of the current system of mutual obligations, neutralizing excessive fears and hopes, and preventive work with the opponents, preventing the wide spread of their objections. Since these views reflect a weakness and low efficiency of Russia, the normalization of our state and its transition from looting the Soviet legacy to modernization and development of the country, will automatically neutralize them and relieve the existing discomfort.
Another local tension comes from the regional neighbors (from Vietnam to Baltic States) who are averse to any strengthening of cooperation just because of its scale, as well as countries like India, who fear violating the global equilibrium as such. The solution to the problem regarding the fair neighbors is naturally a detailed explanation of the purpose and consequences of each of our steps with a door always open for them to join any of our projects.
The unscrupulous neighbors deserve only a deterrent, as they are the representatives of the global business.
An important issue is Taiwan. Their youths are anti-China, last year their representatives seized and for three months occupied the House of Parliament. In the elections of 2017 nationalists will come to power, who can declare independence, which by the laws of China will force it to start a war. The U.S. is especially interested in such development, because in 2018 three Chinese carriers are expected to enter into operation, which will radically change the balance of power and therefore is unacceptable to the United States.
The aggravation of the Taiwan crisis will objectively bring Russia and China together (just as did the Ukrainian catastrophe), but the price of such rapprochement is unacceptable.
A separate adversary of Russian-Chinese cooperation is Japan, but it is devoid of opportunity for active policy. It would like to strengthen cooperation with Russia to potentially weaken China, but can’t do it, as it is contrary to the global interests of the United States in suppressing Russia. But Japan cannot afford to increase the degree of its independence from the U.S. for the fear of losing a part of the American market.
Who will help us?
An important ally of strengthening the cooperation between our countries is a part of global business focused on the division of the world into macro-regions for the subsequent earning of influence and money by organizing their interaction. These structures need to be identified and strengthened.
Our ally is also the commercial interest of Western countries, more and more acute with the rise of the global crisis and contraction of demand. EU sanctions against Russia show that it will not occur without political stimulation on our part. But the support of the UK, and then Germany and France of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank shows that such efforts allow us to use the commercial interests of the West against their own strategic interests.
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The development of the Russian-Chinese relations so far occurred largely spontaneously, under the influence of commercial interests. This is what caused their shortfall and their passive character in relation to the outside world.
Understanding them in the context of global development, the entire spectrum of problems facing the world will allow not only to efficiently intensify them and give them a really complex character, but also to transform them into an instrument of profound renewal of the entire modern humanity in the interests of our peoples.
Therefore, an objective ally of the Russian-Chinese cooperation is all of mankind, all nations, to whom we must offer a new model of socio-economic, and even just personal development in contrast to the old model of their governments and global corporations.
But first we need to develop this model ourselves.
Colleagues, together we must build a new world because the old one has expired!