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    November 10, 2017

    Dropping birth rate critical for Russia

    November 10, 2017 - Fort Russ News -

    - Yekaterina Arkalova, in Tsargrad, translated by Tom Winter -
    "Fertility and population decline in Russia" [the numbers are in the text below]
    "Population decline in Russia accelerated by a factor 0f 50" -- Screen capture from video at site.


    Poverty is not a vice, but a direct path to a demographic black hole:
    In our country there is a serious collapse in the birth rate, and by the end of this year it is expected to reduce the population by 100 thousand people

    Society is hurting, and the demographics, not the per capita GDP, are the most accurate indicator of this. Not per capita income level, because it is optimistic to calculate the average temperature for a hospital, or to count the salary of a rural teacher alongside that of an oligarch. You can do it, but to no avail. The figures obtained will give a false "you can live." And we can not.

    Here are the figures:

    In 2016, almost 52 thousand fewer children were born in the country than in 2015.

    For the first nine months of this year in Russia, 163.6 thousand fewer children were born than during the same period in 2016.

    The natural population decline for January-September of this year was 106 176 people.

    At the same time, we are slipping into a demographic hole, under the government's declarations of a reduction in mortality. But this is also fixable. Soon the hourglass will turn over, and the reduction will turn into growth.

    According to the mortality of men of working age, Russia has long ago outrun not only all European, North- and South American countries, but also Syria, which has been engulfed in bloody war for several years. 

    The real incomes of the population are not growing, and the number of poor varies between 20 million people. Approximately 66 percent of the poor are concentrated in rural areas and small towns with a population of up to 50,000 people. Moreover, the children's budget in Russia is at the level of 0.5-0.6% of GDP, while in European countries with a good demographic situation, from 4% to 5% of GDP is spent. On children.

    Dmitriy Panyukov: "It is completely unclear why we do not have measures to support the birth rate, because this is the most important thing, the only thing we can correct. The economic course, frankly speaking, does not give people enough hope for the future. It is the expectation of some development - this is the first factor that affects the demographic indicators. The villages and small towns are hollowing out. The population is pulled together in the agglomeration, in the stone jungle the people reproduce poorly. We need a breakthrough in the economy, we need support of the regions and the rural areas." Dmitriy Panyukov is a member of the Board of Directors of the Institute for Demography, Migration, and Regional Development.

    "In a situation where it is hard to bear children because of poverty, when young families fear that their own children will be a burden to them, the state is not taking any measures to stimulate birth rate in the draft budget for 2018-2020. There is money to save banks and purchase debt securities, granted with one stroke of the pen, but to save millions of families from actual extinction - there is not a penny in the budget."

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